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Why do gun right advocates ignore global statistics that nations without unlimited gun availability are much safer?
Christopher J. Joubert Christopher J. Joubert, Human Rights Activist, Firearms Collector, Student of Kempo, Aikido, and Arnis
Answered Nov 12
Original Question: Why do gun right advocates ignore global statistics that nations without unlimited gun availability are much safer?

This one's easy, because it is not factually true, unless you cherry pick your data set.

This is probably one of the many charts you've seen, and the data you've been provided with.

Wow, I mean right there, in perfect chart form…

Notice anything? Like more than half the world missing?

It's actually worse, much of Europe is missing.

So here's what the chart should look like.

If you don't blow it up it might be hard to read, The red line represents gun ownership, the blue bars homicides. The United States is that small bar at the very first column.

Still think that nations with fewer guns are safer? There is literally no correlation here, nor any causation. Other factors are at play.

But I mean that's the whole world, and other nations aren't that great right? And we only mean Good nations, like those rated higher on the OECD...

Well then the US must look terrible:

That red bar on the right is the United States, and yeah, it's not as good as it could be... but it isn't as bad either.

There are many, complex, factors that go into gun violence. But there isn't a correlation between gun ownership and violent crime. All those nations to the right of the US on this last chart have effective bans. The country 6th from the left is the nation with the second highest ownership rate.

What does actually correlate to higher crime rates in general, and violent crimes specifically, is population size and number of metro areas. [1] The higher the population of a city, the higher the crime rate. It isn't just a linear rise where twice the population means twice the crime, it means more than twice the crime. The United States has 1,290 cities with a population over 25,000. [2] According to Wiki, the UK has 325. If the relationship were strictly linear, which it isn't, we could expect the US to have a homicide rate 3.9 times that of the UK. Again from wiki, the homicide rate in the year provided in the UK was 1.2, in the US 5.35 or 4.45 more. Given the US's other issues at hand, such as the border with Mexico and drug cartels using the US as a pipeline, and that the US has more cities with larger population than the UK, I think we can find that this number is nearly exactly where we expect it to be.

In short, bigger cities == higher crime rate.

Now in fairness I mentioned some other issues. They are demographics, and wealth distribution in particular, though there are other factors as well.


[2] US Places (Cities & Villages) 25,000 and Over: 2002 Estimates